The Great AGI Race: When Will Machines Outsmart Us?
The Great AGI Race: When Will Machines Outsmart Us?
With Elon Musk betting on superintelligence by next year and skeptics rolling their eyes, are we sprinting towards a new era or setting up for another AI winter?
The debate over when artificial general intelligence (AGI) will arrive is heating up among tech titans. Elon Musk, ever the optimist, projects that AI could surpass human intelligence as early as next year, a vision underscored by recent advancements in AI models like ChatGPT.
In contrast, Yann LeCun of Meta and other industry stalwarts insist that true AGI is decades away, citing the complexity of achieving human-like understanding and reasoning. This divide is not just academic; it shapes how billions in investments are directed and how quickly we might encounter AI that impacts every aspect of society.
As AI continues its relentless advance, are we on the brink of creating machines that not only think but outthink us, or are we chasing a horizon that keeps receding as we learn more?
Read the full article on Financial Times.
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Dr. Mark van Rijmenam
Dr. Mark van Rijmenam is The Digital Speaker, a world-leading futurist and global AI keynote speaker who helps leaders decide what AI, and the technologies that follow it, mean for their business. He speaks to leadership teams at their retreats and to conference audiences worldwide, and his WAVE framework gives them a way of deciding that they keep using long after he has left the room. His Intelligence Age Scorecard measures how ready an organization is across the four WAVE pillars.
He holds a PhD from the University of Technology Sydney, is a Certified Speaking Professional and Global Speaking Fellow, and ranks among the world’s top futurists on the Global Gurus list (#1 in 2025, #3 in 2026). Salesforce named him one of its 16 leading AI voices. He has written six books, most recently Now What? How to Ride the Tsunami of Change, writes the Synthetic Minds newsletter on Substack, and founded Futurwise. Talk to his digital twin on WhatsApp: +1 (830) 463-6967.
