The Future of Tech: It’s Not About Now, It’s About Speed

The real secret to predicting tech’s future? Stop asking if it works today and start asking how fast it’s improving.

Evaluating technology based on its current performance is a mistake. Visionaries like Vinod Khosla have shown that understanding the rate of change, how quickly tech improves, is key to forecasting its future impact.

Khosla’s early investment in OpenAI wasn’t based on ChatGPT’s eventual success but on AI’s overall momentum and talent pool in 2018. His success echoes past breakthroughs: the internet’s rise, robotics, and the push toward artificial general intelligence (AGI).

Khosla predicts AGI could arrive within 5-7 years, performing 80% of tasks in most economically valuable jobs. While skeptics question these timelines, one thing is clear: rapid evolution, not static performance, determines what reshapes industries.

Focusing on today’s capabilities blinds us to tomorrow’s possibilities. How can businesses better track the “rate of change” to stay ahead?

Read the full article on Wall Street Journal.

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