Countdown to Superintelligence: Are We Ready for 2027?

In a riveting talk at the Beneficial AGI Summit, Ben Goertzel, an AI visionary, stirs the pot with a daring forecast: the dawn of artificial superintelligence (ASI) by 2027. Goertzel isn't just making wild guesses; he's drawing on years of AI evolution, juxtaposing his optimism with cautionary tales from peers like Shane Legg and Geoffrey Hinton.
While AGI — AI with human-equivalent cognition — still eludes us, the rapid pace of large language models like ChatGPT indicates we're closer than ever. According to both Elon Musk and Sam Altman independently, the capability of AI models is currently increasing at a rate of 5-10x per year—faster than any other technology in history, leaving Moore's Law far behind.
But Goertzel isn't just looking at AGI; he's peering into the future where AGI leapfrogs into ASI, an entity possessing humanity's collective knowledge. Yet, he acknowledges the journey's unpredictability, rife with both "known unknowns and probably unknown unknowns."
This bold timeline isn't just tech talk; it's a wake-up call for society. How do we prepare for a world where AI could potentially outpace human intelligence within a decade? Can we ensure these advanced intelligences align with our values and work towards our benefit, not to our detriment? As we inch closer to this new era, the dialogue shifts from 'if' to 'how' and 'when,' urging us to contemplate our role in shaping a future where AI partners with humanity, not overtakes it.
Read the full article on Futurism.
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💡 We're entering a world where intelligence is synthetic, reality is augmented, and the rules are being rewritten in front of our eyes.
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